Saturday, December 18, 2010
Wednesday, December 15, 2010
Max Contracts - Position Players
I thought there would be more info available going into this. I could only find 4 max contract position players. It probably has something to do with the olden days, where players rated 90 overall would sign $8 million extensions with their controlling franchise.
I've defined a max contract as any contract that totaled $80 million or more. I only found four position players, but please let me know of anyone I missed.
So here are our four candidates with their average seasonal performances:
It certainly looks like Lou Luke is working out well. The 50 HR's and .324 BA are quite attractive. When comparing Chip Greenwood to the rest, it should be noted that he is the only skill player of the group. Greenwood played the last two seasons at SS, and looks like a 3B for the next few seasons. His low BA (.268) doesn't bode well, but 30 HR's from the SS position is quite nice. Aaron Gonzales has some nice pop, and Jesus Park has an attractive BA & OBP.
Let's compare these players to replacement players. WIS doesn't make it easy to research and find a replacement players, so I had to do some digging on my own. This is extremely arbitrary. I found one guy, Vic Bolivar, who is probably better than a replacement player, and signed a substantial contract (5 years $5.6 per). I used two more guys who were signed for cheap, and could be had by anybody (Elmer Fabregas and Ernest Bichette). I think these guys encompass the "replacement player" theory better than Bolivar. (Aside, nice signings, GM's.)
Now let's look at each player's Runs Created, how that compared to the total runs their teams scored, and how much money these runs cost.
How about that Lou Luke? He's managed to create about 18% of his team's runs during his max contract, well above the production that Gonzales, Greenwood, and Park contribute. And when you compare their RC to their contract, Luke looks even better, costing "just" $113,163 per run created last season. Compare that to Gonzales' lowest of $184,070, Greenwood of $180,978, and Park of $135,510.
I found it interesting that the "replacement players" scored a significant amount of their team's runs. Bolivar scored 12%, which is comparable or better than Gonzales' rate, at a fraction of the cost. This information also tells me that the first 50-80 runs are cheap, the next 25 runs are marginally more expensive, and from there the costs rises steeply.
OK, final topic. A quick look at how these contracts impact wins. I'll be the first to admit that we are dealing with a small sample size in all data accumulated thus far. It's even more so with a team's win total. Lots of outside factors can cause giant swings in a team's win total from year to year. I'm not putting too much weight in this data, but thought it would be a good idea to get it down for the record. As we accumulate more information, maybe we will start to see a pattern.
Final analysis: It looks like Luke is earning his contract and then some. Park, in my opinion, looks pretty good. I think if he can keep his RC over 120, his contract will be justified. Greenwood, as I said, is a SS and should be evaluated differently. He has spent some time on the DL these last couple of years, so if he can stay healthy going forward, he could pay some dividends on his GM's investment. Finally, Gonzales, well, that contract doesn't look good. I think Luke, Park, and Gonzales show us what we can expect if we sign a good, medium, and poor max contract.
Thursday, December 2, 2010
100 Win Seasons: Season 18 Update
Click on the image for a larger, and easier to read, image.
Wednesday, December 1, 2010
Season 18 Wrap-up
This marks the third season in a row that the World Series went to the AL, who now lead the all time series 11 championships to 7 over the NL.
Congratulations to graybeard and the Swabbies management on a wonderful season.
Season 1. San Juan Clementes (mazz993) - AL
Season 2. Seattle Pilots (threester) - AL
Season 3. Scranton Shrutes (mookie79) - AL
Season 4. Jacksonville betelnut (cpkung) - AL
Season 5. Jacksonville betelnut (cpkung) - AL
Season 6. Wichita Wallabies (jdbkaput) - NL
Season 7. Seattle Pilots (threester) - AL
Season 8. Monterrey Pepper Jacks (tooly_mctool) - NL
Season 9. Ottawa Sundragons (sundragons) - NLSeason 10. San Juan Myrmidons (doontristy) - NL
Season 11. Monterrey Pepper Jacks (tooly_mctool) - NL
Season 12. San Juan Myrmidons (doontristy) - NL
Season 13. Durham Donkeyfish (armst24) - AL
Season 14. Scranton Schrutes (mookie79) - AL
Season 15. San Juan Myrmidons (doontristy) - NL
Season 16. Durham Donkeyfish (armst24) - AL
Season 17. Rochester North Stars (hypnotoad) - AL
Season 18. Atlanta Swabbies (graybeard) - AL
Breakdown:
AL - 11 World Series
NL- 7 World Series
Monday, August 30, 2010
100 Win Seasons: Season 17 Update
Saturday, August 28, 2010
Season 17 Wrap-up
This marks back-to-back World Series championships for an original franchise of Gehrig World as well as back-to-back titles for the AL.
Congratulations to hypnotoad and the North Stars management on a wonderful season.
Season 1. San Juan Clementes (mazz993) - AL
Season 2. Seattle Pilots (threester) - AL
Season 3. Scranton Shrutes (mookie79) - AL
Season 4. Jacksonville betelnut (cpkung) - AL
Season 5. Jacksonville betelnut (cpkung) - AL
Season 6. Wichita Wallabies (jdbkaput) - NL
Season 7. Seattle Pilots (threester) - AL
Season 8. Monterrey Pepper Jacks (tooly_mctool) - NL
Season 9. Ottawa Sundragons (sundragons) - NLSeason 10. San Juan Myrmidons (doontristy) - NL
Season 11. Monterrey Pepper Jacks (tooly_mctool) - NL
Season 12. San Juan Myrmidons (doontristy) - NL
Season 13. Durham Donkeyfish (armst24) - AL
Season 14. Scranton Schrutes (mookie79) - AL
Season 15. San Juan Myrmidons (doontristy) - NL
Season 16. Durham Donkeyfish (armst24) - AL
Season 17. Rochester North Stars (hypnotoad) - AL
Breakdown:
AL - 10 World Series
NL- 7 World Series
Saturday, May 29, 2010
Season 16 Wrap-up
The Donkeyfish, one of Gehrig's original franchises, have turned into a perennial powerhouse. After only going to the playoffs once in their first 11 seasons, they have made the World Series 3 of the last 5 seasons and claimed two championships.
Congratulations to armst24 and the Donkeyfish management on another wonderful season.
Season 1. San Juan Clementes (mazz993) - AL
Season 2. Seattle Pilots (threester) - AL
Season 3. Scranton Shrutes (mookie79) - AL
Season 4. Jacksonville betelnut (cpkung) - AL
Season 5. Jacksonville betelnut (cpkung) - AL
Season 6. Wichita Wallabies (jdbkaput) - NL
Season 7. Seattle Pilots (threester) - AL
Season 8. Monterrey Pepper Jacks (tooly_mctool) - NL
Season 9. Ottawa Sundragons (sundragons) - NLSeason 10. San Juan Myrmidons (doontristy) - NL
Season 11. Monterrey Pepper Jacks (tooly_mctool) - NL
Season 12. San Juan Myrmidons (doontristy) - NL
Season 13. Durham Donkeyfish (armst24) - AL
Season 14. Scranton Schrutes (mookie79) - AL
Season 15. San Juan Myrmidons (doontristy) - NL
Season 16. Durham Donkeyfish (armst24) - AL
Breakdown:
AL - 9 World Series
NL- 7 World Series
100 Win Seasons: Update
Sunday, May 2, 2010
Bullpen Effectiveness
Team IR IRS IRS %
Burlington 85 19 22%
Rochester 145 34 23%
Charlotte 155 37 24%
Salem 94 23 24%
Pawtucket 262 66 25%
Vancouver 108 27 25%
Atlanta 92 23 25%
Oklahoma City 183 49 27%
Arizona 147 40 27%
NY Mets 121 33 27%
Salt Lake City 145 40 28%
Mexico City 137 39 28%
Richmond 142 41 29%
San Juan 141 41 29%
Seattle 111 32 29%
St Louis 145 44 30%
Indy 117 35 30%
Boise 109 33 30%
Fresno 133 43 32%
Helena 121 39 32%
NY Skyscrapers 113 36 32%
Santa Cruz 105 34 32%
New Orleans 108 36 33%
Scranton 96 32 33%
Jacksonville 186 63 34%
Durham 118 40 34%
Philly 148 55 37%
Charleston 136 50 37%
Wichita 136 51 38%
Ottawa 119 45 38%
Little Rock 140 54 39%
Chicago 118 51 43%
Monday, March 1, 2010
Season 15 Wrap-up
The Myrmidons cruised to the title, winning 8 of the next 10, after struggling to beat the Salem Witchhunt in five games of the Division Championship Series.
Congratulations to doontristy and the Myrmidons management on another wonderful season.
Season 1. San Juan Clementes (mazz993) - AL
Season 2. Seattle Pilots (threester) - AL
Season 3. Scranton Shrutes (mookie79) - AL
Season 4. Jacksonville betelnut (cpkung) - AL
Season 5. Jacksonville betelnut (cpkung) - AL
Season 6. Wichita Wallabies (jdbkaput) - NL
Season 7. Seattle Pilots (threester) - AL
Season 8. Monterrey Pepper Jacks (tooly_mctool) - NL
Season 9. Ottawa Sundragons (sundragons) - NLSeason 10. San Juan Myrmidons (doontristy) - NL
Season 11. Monterrey Pepper Jacks (tooly_mctool) - NL
Season 12. San Juan Myrmidons (doontristy) - NL
Season 13. Durham Donkeyfish (armst24) - AL
Season 14. Scranton Schrutes (mookie79) - AL
Season 15. San Juan Myrmidons (doontristy) - NL
Breakdown:
AL - 8 World Series
NL- 7 World Series
Sunday, February 28, 2010
100 Win Seasons: Update
Friday, January 15, 2010
A New Era
On the other hand, the end of the PED era in Gehrig has taken a dramatic hit. The catch comes in that we have only played about half a season (76 games exactly) in Gehrig, but so far the trends are dramatic. Averages for runs scored are down from 5.21 per game on season 14 to 4.55 per game this season. Average HRs are down from 1.44 per game, season 14, to 0.93 per game this season. SLG is down from 0.443 on season 14, down to 0.396 this season, whereas OPS is down from 0.780 to 0.730 this season.
A statistic that should not be affected by PEDs, at least in Gehrig, SBs remains pretty constant from the last few seasons.
A cursory look at other numbers like 2Bs (1.44 per game season 14, 1.39 this season) and 3Bs (0.167 per game season 14, 0.145 this season), also suggest that the main effect is being seen in HRs, but not in other extra base hits. This is somewhat interesting in that if the ball is kept in the park more, maybe extra base hits would have been expected to at least move up a bit.
The take home point? It's a great year to be a pitcher.