Sunday, March 20, 2011

Season 20 Preview - AL South

RICHMOND:
FA Signings: Wilfredo James (3B), Justin Miles (3B/SS)
Nothing big here - the Really Big Deal is re-signing the incomparable Damon Prinz to a max contract. He’s won 2 Cy Young’s already and if he stays healthy will surely be in the running for another.

Trade Acquisitions: None

Losses: Yoo-nah Masato (RP), Sammy Mesa (OF), RJ Torres (3B/SS), Pedro Santos (SS)

Last season: 99-63, 1st place AL South; WS champs
Runs: 916 (3rd)
ERA: 3.96 (4th)
Fielding: .986 (T3rd) 65/46 +/-

Conclusion: With the resigning of Prinz, people can safely ignore any ideas of ‘rebuilding’ in Richmond for season 20. Still a very strong team, the immediate question is can James and Miles replace the value of Torres and Santos. It is a young team at the ML level, but not much is available in AAA. Bigtuna has done a fantastic rebuilding job in Richmond worthy of study by all potential rebuilders.



ATLANTA:
FA Signings: None

Trade Acquisitions: None

Losses: Vincente Ibarra (P), Deion Long (RP)

Last season: 92-70, 2nd Place AL South
Runs: 786 (10th)
ERA: 3.87 (3rd)
Fielding: .988 (T2nd) 83/11 +/-

Conclusion: Pitching and defense have been the hallmark of Swabbie play through the years and season 20 should be no exception. Just one year removed from a world championship, Atlanta remains almost unchanged from last years team. They do have some talent in AAA, but not of the impact variety.


CHARLOTTE:
FA Signings: Yorvit Sojo (OF)
A big time, MVP-like bat, Sojo comes to the AL via pitcher friendly Burlington. His numbers will be due to jump up.

Trade Acquisitions: Pedro Santos (SS/3B)
The 2nd big bat to be added to the lineup - look out AL South pitching.

Losses: Wilfredo James (3B), Al Chantres (1B/DH), Edwin Lush (OF)

Last Season: 90-72, 3rd place AL South
Runs: 843 (6th)
ERA: 4.10 (5th)
Fielding: .984 (T8th) 74/30 +/-

Conclusion: Talented newcomers in Sojo and Santos, plus good young players who cut their teeth last season or who start the year in AAA should make a big difference for the Driskills this season. Is it enough to hurdle past both Atlanta and Richmond?


SANTA FE:
FA Signings: None

Trade Acquisitions: None

Losses: Brian Shinjo (CF), Sidney Tessmer (SP), Enrique Mendez (RP), Tony Yamamoto (SP)

Last Season: 61-101, 4th place AL South
Runs: 776 (11th)
ERA: 6.28 (14th)
Fielding: .978 (T13th) 59/82 +/-

Conclusion: With 14 players on the ML roster having under a years’ worth of ML experience, it is hard to figure Santa Fe out. Eight Rule V selections were made, and many very high draft picks were obtained through trading. This year may not be the year they figure it out in Santa Fe, but look out AL South over the next few seasons.


Hypno’s Projected Order of Finish:
1. Richmond
2. Charlotte
3. Atlanta
4. Santa Fe

Season 20 Preview - AL East

JACKSONVILLE:
FA Signings: Vincente Ibarra (P)
The 40-year old Ibarra signed cheaply towards the end of spring training.

Trade Acquisitions: Lenny Small(OF), Jose Lopez (RP), Miguel Mendez (CF), Bucky Byrnes (RP)
Small still has some pop in his bat (27 homers last season in Detroit, a pitchers’ park). Lopez is a quality closer, swapped with Detroit for last years closer Meyer. The speedy Mendez has won 2 Gold Gloves in center.

Losses: Nigel Walker (SS), Chris Mayer (RP), Kevin Weathers (RP), Miguel Mondesi (CF), Orlando Molina (3B), Rickey Reed (OF)

Last Season: 81-81, 1st place AL East
Runs: 755 (12th)
ERA: 4.34 (8th)
Fielding: .988 (T2nd) 57/30 +/-

Conclusion: The betelnut lost their last 8 games of the regular season in season 19, and then promptly got swept in the first round of the playoffs. The offense will need to improve to better last years record, in the regular season as well as the post-season.


TRENTON:
FA Signings: George Taylor (P), Mac Davis (IF)
Taylor was signed away from Pawtucket where he worked in the bullpen. Mac Davis has a fantastic agent.

Trade Acquisitions: Dude Lanigan (CF)
Dude roamed the center field in St. Louis with his below average glove. He looks to do the same in Trenton.

Losses: None

Last Season: 79-83 2nd place AL East
Runs: 857 (4th)
ERA: 4.97 (13th)
Fielding: .984 (T8th) 62/36 +/-

Conclusion: Several good young players in AAA may be the difference for Trenton. They should still be able to score runs, but I think the pitching staff will need more than a pedestrian George Taylor to significantly improve from season 19’s ERA.


CLEVELAND:
FA Signings: Daniel Groom (P), Skip Allensworth (RP), Timothy Hall (2B)
None of these players are impact players.

Trade Acquisitions: None

Losses: Don Matheson ( C), Eddie Trammell (SP)

Last season: 69-93 3rd AL East (as Dover)
Runs: 749 (11th)
ERA: 5.13 (12th)
Fielding: .984 (T6th) 64/24 +/-

Conclusion: The 9 Rule V selections this season telegraph the rebuilding intentions of the Lake Shores. They should not content for the division title.



Pittsburgh:
FA Signings: Yoo-nah Masato (RP)
Masato struggled a bit in Richmond last season, but should do well for the Pushovers.

Trade Acquisitions: None

Losses: Omar Fernandez (SP), Brandon Bell (SS), Will Davis (2B/CF)

Last season: 53-109 4th in AL East
Runs: 665 (14th)
ERA: 4.93 (12th)
Fielding: .985 (T5th) 72/27 +/-

Conclusion: The young Pushovers aren’t quite ready yet. They do have some pieces at AAA. They do continue to maintain a quality defense, even as the rest of the team lags behind in production.


Hypno’s Projected Order of Finish:
1. Jacksonville
2. Trenton
3. Pittsburgh
4. Cleveland

Season 20 Preview - AL North

FARGFARGO:
FA signings: Luis James (closer), Orlando Molina (3B/IF), Sammy Mesa (OF), JR Hamelin (SS)

James is merely the best closer in the history of all HBD. Maybe his most special quality at this point is that his ratings really haven’t taken a hit with his age (37).
Molina and Mesa are both vets in their mid-30’s, but can still be effective role players on the right team.
Hamelin looks to be an effective fielding SS, albeit with a below average glove for the position. Although signed to a $3.5m contract, he has not played above AA.

Trade Acquisitions: Jamey Williams (SP), Richard Tanaka (3B)
Williams is in his prime and could challenge for the Cy Young in the AL. Tanaka, only 24, is the prototypical third basemen with power, but with the added bonus of playing excellent defense.

Losses: Felix Suppan, Midre Owen, Brian Yosida

Last season: 79-83, 2nd place in the AL North
Runs: 747 (14th in AL)
ERA: 4.34 (7th in AL)
Fielding: .983 (11th in AL) 56/33 +/-

Conclusion: With the addition of Williams and James, finishing below .500 again is an unlikely outcome. The offense needs to pick it up and Tanaka at 3rd should help replace the departing Suppan. There are 2-3 high quality players in AAA that may begin with the team or contribute as the season progresses. They may be the factor that wrests the division away from Buffalo.




BUFFALO:
FA Signings: Deion Long (P)
A quiet off-season for the reigning division champs, Long is a 36 year old SP most recently with Atlanta.

Trade Acquisitions: None

Losses: Rodney Franklin, BC Cabrera

Last season: 85-77, 1st place in AL North
Runs: 844 (5th)
ERA: 4.58 (10th)
Fielding: .982 (12th) 32/84 +/-

Conclusion: Not much has changed with Buffalo and that may not be a good thing as Fargo looks poised to do something about the Bulldozers championship.



PHILADELPHIA:
FA Signings: Don Matheson ( C),
Matheson is a solid backstop, but not much more. The 33 year old signed for $7m over 2 years.

Trade Acquisitions: Sidney Tessmer (SP), Yorman Rijo (OF), Tony Porter (OF)
Tessmer is a top of the rotation SP, and should immediately help a struggling staff. The 2 position players are both young and should contribute.

Losses: Scott Prior (DH), Roy Morgan (P)

Last season: 61-101, 4th place AL North
Runs: 824 (8th)
ERA: 6.23 (13th)
Fielding: .978 (13th) 22/100 +/1

Conclusion: The run production looks to remain roughly the same. The addition of Tessmer would be huge to any staff, but is especially important to the lackluster Hawks squad. However, it’s not likely to make impact in the standings, especially with so few prospects in AAA.



DETROIT:
FA Signings: David Dong (1B/LF)
Dong looks to platoon with Marty Steele - that’s right, a Steele/Dong combo worthy of Burroughs (or Becker and Fagen).

Trade Acquisitions: Chris Mayer (RP), Damion Tabaka (RP), Lon Hampton (SP), PT Rosario (2B), Nigel Walker (SS)
Busy on the trade front but not in free agency, the North Stars will have some new faces for season 20. Mayer (a lefty) was swapped to Jacksonville for a similar RH closer. Tabaka has not pitched in the majors but looks to hold down a setup B role. Hampton is a veteren RH SP who may have control issues, but he should pitch a lot of innings. Rosario hopes to steal 100 bases again, while Walker looks to improve defense at the SS position.

Losses: Marcus Simontacchi (SP), Wayne Barrett (SP), Chipper James (2B), Lenny Small (OF), Ramon Ryu (SS/3B)

Last Season: 78-84, 3rd place AL North
Runs: 834 (7th)
ERA: 4.88 (11th)
Fielding: .986 (T4th) 70/32 +/-

Conclusion: The bullpen looks strong, and the rotation looks a little better as well so maybe the pitching will do well enough to improve upon last seasons’ franchise worst record. The lineup composition is different but not radically so.

Hypno’s Projected Order of Finish:
1. Fargo
2. Buffalo
3. Detroit
4. PhillyO:
FA signings: Luis James (closer), Orlando Molina (3B/IF), Sammy Mesa (OF), JR Hamelin (SS)

James is merely the best closer in the history of all HBD. Maybe his most special quality at this point is that his ratings really haven’t taken a hit with his age (37).
Molina and Mesa are both vets in their mid-30’s, but can still be effective role players on the right team.
Hamelin looks to be an effective fielding SS, albeit with a below average glove for the position. Although signed to a $3.5m contract, he has not played above AA.

Trade Acquisitions: Jamey Williams (SP), Richard Tanaka (3B)
Williams is in his prime and could challenge for the Cy Young in the AL. Tanaka, only 24, is the prototypical third basemen with power, but with the added bonus of playing excellent defense.

Losses: Felix Suppan, Midre Owen, Brian Yosida

Last season: 79-83, 2nd place in the AL North
Runs: 747 (14th in AL)
ERA: 4.34 (7th in AL)
Fielding: .983 (11th in AL) 56/33 +/-

Conclusion: With the addition of Williams and James, finishing below .500 again is an unlikely outcome. The offense needs to pick it up and Tanaka at 3rd should help replace Suppan. There are 2-3 high quality players in AAA that may begin with the team or contribute as the season progresses. They may be the factor that wrests the division away from Buffalo.

BUFFALO:
FA Signings: Deion Long (P)
A quiet off-season for the reigning division champs, Long is a 36 year old SP most recently with Atlanta.

Trade Acquisitions: None

Losses: Rodney Franklin, BC Cabrera

Last season: 85-77, 1st place in AL North
Runs: 844 (5th)
ERA: 4.58 (10th)
Fielding: .982 (12th) 32/84 +/-

Conclusion: Not much has changed with Buffalo and that may not be a good thing as Fargo looks poised to do something about the Bulldozers championship.



PHILADELPHIA:
FA Signings: Don Matheson ( C),
Matheson is a solid backstop, but not much more. The 33 year old signed for $7m over 2 years.

Trade Acquisitions: Sidney Tessmer (SP), Yorman Rijo (OF), Tony Porter (OF)
Tessmer is a top of the rotation SP, and should immediately help a struggling staff. The 2 position players are both young and should contribute.

Losses: Scott Prior (DH), Roy Morgan (P)

Last season: 61-101, 4th place AL North
Runs: 824 (8th)
ERA: 6.23 (13th)
Fielding: .978 (13th) 22/100 +/1

Conclusion: The run production looks to remain roughly the same. The addition of Tessmer would be huge to any staff, but is especially important to the lackluster Hawks squad. However, it’s not likely to make impact in the standings, especially with so few prospects in AAA.



DETROIT:
FA Signings: David Dong (1B/LF)
Dong looks to platoon with Marty Steele - that’s right, a Steele/Dong combo worthy of Burroughs (or Becker and Fagen).

Trade Acquisitions: Chris Mayer (RP), Damion Tabaka (RP), Lon Hampton (SP), PT Rosario (2B), Nigel Walker (SS)
Busy on the trade front but not in free agency, the North Stars will have some new faces for season 20. Mayer (a lefty) was swapped to Jacksonville for a similar RH closer. Tabaka has not pitched in the majors but looks to hold down a setup B role. Hampton is a veteran RH SP who may have control issues, but he should pitch a lot of innings. Rosario hopes to steal 100 bases again, while Walker looks to improve defense at the SS position.

Losses: Marcus Simontacchi (SP), Wayne Barrett (SP), Chipper James (2B), Lenny Small (OF), Ramon Ryu (SS/3B)

Last Season: 78-84, 3rd place AL North
Runs: 834 (7th)
ERA: 4.88 (11th)
Fielding: .986 (T4th) 70/32 +/-

Conclusion: The bullpen looks strong, and the rotation looks a little better as well so maybe the pitching will do well enough to improve upon last seasons’ franchise worst record. The lineup composition is different but not radically so they shouldn't do any worse on offense.

Hypno’s Projected Order of Finish:
1. Fargo
2. Buffalo
3. Detroit
4. Philly

Friday, March 4, 2011

100 Win Seasons: Season 19 Update

Season 19 went to the Richmond big tunas, giving bigtuna5 his 1st World Series title in Gehrig but his 3th overall Hardball Dynasty title.

The Vancouver NewMoneyManiacs also tied the record for most wins in a season, established Season 12 by the San Juan Myrmidons, with 116 in Gehrig.

In 19 seasons, 59 teams have 100 wins or more in a season, with 25 from the NL and 34 from the AL. This means that an average of 3.1 teams record 100 wins every season. Of these 59 teams, only 9 teams have ended up winning the World Series. This equates to a 47% success rate of winning the championship after recording 100 or more wins.

Click on the image for a larger, and easier to read, image.

Season 19 Wrap-up

In a World Series featuring two franchises that not that long ago were more likely to lose 100 games than see playoff success, the Richmond big tunas took home the championship after defeating the Fresno Mendozas in a thrilling seven-game series.

The big tunas took advantage of a six-run fifth-inning, propelled by a Grand Slam by Sammy Mesa, to win Game Seven and claim the first World Series championship in franchise history. The number 2 seed in the AL, the big tunas won all four games at Fresno. Interestingly enough, the big tunas also required all seven games to defeat the Salt Lake Burners in the NLCS.

The win, marks an astounding turnaround by a Richmond franchise that was a perennial 100-game loser in Gehrig. Before bigtuna5 took over the team, the franchise had amassed ten seasons of 100+ losses in only fifteen seasons. Bigtuna5, however, only required four seasons to turn around the franchise and claim his third Hardball Dynasty title.

For the Mendozas, this marked another season of improvement, but also a season that fell short of a title. The Mendozas also made it to the World Series in Season 18, but fell in five games to the eventual winner Atlanta.

This marks the fourth season in a row that the World Series hardware has gone to the AL, who now lead the all time series 12 championships to 7 over the NL.

The only two Divisions that have yet to claim a World Series are the AL and NL West.

Congratulations to bigtuna5 the Swabbies management on a wonderful season.

Season 1. San Juan Clementes (mazz993) - AL

Season 2. Seattle Pilots (threester) - AL

Season 3. Scranton Shrutes (mookie79) - AL

Season 4. Jacksonville betelnut (cpkung) - AL

Season 5. Jacksonville betelnut (cpkung) - AL

Season 6. Wichita Wallabies (jdbkaput) - NL

Season 7. Seattle Pilots (threester) - AL

Season 8. Monterrey Pepper Jacks (tooly_mctool) - NL

Season 9. Ottawa Sundragons (sundragons) - NL

Season 10. San Juan Myrmidons (doontristy) - NL

Season 11.
Monterrey Pepper Jacks (tooly_mctool) - NL

Season 12. San Juan Myrmidons (doontristy) - NL

Season 13. Durham Donkeyfish (armst24) - AL

Season 14. Scranton Schrutes (mookie79) - AL

Season 15. San Juan Myrmidons (doontristy) - NL

Season 16. Durham Donkeyfish (armst24) - AL

Season 17. Rochester North Stars (hypnotoad) - AL

Season 18. Atlanta Swabbies (graybeard) - AL

Season 19. Richmond big tunas (bigtuna5) - AL

Breakdown:
AL - 12 World Series
NL- 7 World Series

Saturday, January 29, 2011